Market Report - Switching the Lightwave OXC's - The Centerpiece of the All Optical Network

Market Studies
Switching the Lightwave
Switching the Lightwave - Update 2001
OXC's - The Centerpiece of the All Optical Network

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Overview
New Report Examines the Optical Switching Market Since Sept. 11th

Information Gatekeepers is proud to announce the availability of a new report "Switching the Lightwave – 2001 Update." This is a completely new study based on one of our most popular reports, "Switching the Lightwave." This report covers every aspect of optical switches (OXCs), both optical-electrical-optical (OEO) and all optical (OO). It is 33% bigger and has many more figures than its predecessor, which was published one year ago. Included are all of the extensive changes that have taken place in the OXC market, technologies, and vendor profiles, since last year.

The Market Forecast section provides extensive forecasts considering not only on the economic downturn, but also the September 11 attack impacts. These forecasts now offer even greater granularity by providing unit and market forecasts with segmentations by OEO vs. OO, large switch vs. small switch and by application.

The reader is provided with a complete discussion of all of the underlying technologies with new topics such as optical-millimeter wave-optical and 1-D technologies added, with a clear description of the advantages and disadvantages of each. The material also provides a balanced discussion of the pros and cons of OEO vs. OO.

The vendors’ section has been completely re-written, with a much more extensive description of each of the products in this category as well as the addition of new vendors and the deletion of those no longer competing. This section also provides easily scanned tables for comparison of vendors and products.

This graph shows the slowness that is being forecast for a market uptake with OO switches, and illustrates the longer term market.


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Table of Contents


TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF FIGURES

SUMMARY OF CONCEPTS

SWITCHING THE LIGHTWAVE

UPDATE INTRODUCTION

INTRODUCTION

WE HAD A BOTTLENECK; NOW WE HAVE GRIDLOCK

WHAT ARE OXCS?

  • UPDATE STATEMENT
  • WHEN IS A SWITCH REALLY A SWITCH?
    • "Switch" Types
    • Routers
    • TDM Switches
    • ATM
    • IP Switches
    • DACS
  • OXCs – The Centerpiece of the All-Optical Network
    • Drivers to DACS Deployment
    • The Parallel Universe of OXCs
    • General Features of an OXC

TECHNOLOGIES

  • UPDATE STATEMENT
  • UNDERLYING TECHNOLOGIES
  • REVIEW OF BASIC TECHNOLOGIES
  • OEO
    • OEO Vendors
  • MEMS
    • Two Approaches to MEMS
    • Digital Approach
    • Analog Approach
  • MEMS Developers and Vendors
    • ADC
    • Astarte Fiber Networks
    • C Speed Corp.
    • Calient Networks
    • Corning
    • CoreTek (Nortel)
    • Cronos (JDS Uniphase)
    • IntelliSense Corp. (Corning)
    • Lucent
    • Nanovation
    • Onix Microsystems, Inc.
    • Optical Micro Machines (OMM)
    • Texas Instruments
    • Xros (Nortel)
  • LCD
    • LCD Developers and Vendors
    • Corning
    • Chorum
    • SpectroSwitch
  • Bubbles (Inkjet) – Planer Lightwave Circuits
    • PLC Developers and Vendors
    • Agilent
    • Lightwave Microsystems
    • Kymata, Ltd.(Alcatel)
  • OMO
    • 1 D Technology
  • SUMMARY OF CHARACTERISTICS OF EACH TECHNOLOGY
  • BASIC NEEDS OF TECHNOLOGY FOR OXCS
    • Comparison of Transparent and Opaque Switches
    • Examples of Applications of Transparent and Opaque OXCs
  • EXAMPLE OF THE INSERTION LOSS PROBLEM WITH TRANSPARENT
  • SWITCHES
  • STRUCTURE OF OXCS
    • Importance of Clos Networks
  • CLASSES OF OXCS
    • FXC
    • WSXC
    • WIXC
    • Summary of Features by Class
    • Importance of Tunable Lasers
    • Developers and Vendors of Tunable Lasers
    • Tunable Lasers Vendors List
    • ADC
    • Altitun AB
    • Alcatel
    • Bandwidth9
    • Corning
    • Hewlett-Packard
    • JDS Uniphase
    • Marconi
    • Nortel
    • Novalux

APPLICATIONS

  • UPGRADE STATEMENT
  • OPTICAL SWITCHES AS CROSS-CONNECTS
    • Implementing Cross Connects with Different Class Transparent Switches
    • FXC
    • WSXC
    • WICX
  • Implementing Cross-Connects with Opaque OXCs
  • GROOMING
  • CIRCUIT ROUTING
    • The OXC as an Offensive Device
    • Example of Using OXCs to Expand Business Horizons
  • CIRCUIT RESTORAL
  • Substituting for Expensive Router Ports
  • JOINING RINGS
    • How Are the Rings Interconnected?
    • Bridges
    • Baseband
    • Traffic Engineered
    • Electronic Cross-Connect Systems
    • Terabit Routers as Ring Connectors
    • OXCs as Ring Connectors
    • OXCs as Ring Connectors

MARKET DRIVERS

  • INTERNET GROWTH
    • Other Internet Traffic Sources
    • VoIP – Voice over IP
    • B2B – Business-to-Business Traffic
    • Offshore IP Growth
    • Summary of Other Internet Traffic Sources
  • OTHER DRIVERS
  • GROWTH IN ‘JUNCTION POINTS’

MARKET PROJECTIONS

  • UPDATE STATEMENT
  • CURRENT INDUSTRY PROJECTIONS
  • MODEL BASED PROJECTIONS
    • Forecasting Local OXC Market Using Metro Model
    • Example of Model Use
    • Results from Use of Local Model
    • Determining Local Market Forecast from Potential
  • Local Market Forecast for OXCs
  • Forecasting IXC Market for OXCs
    • Determining the Wavelengths per Junction Point
    • Determining Number of Junction Points
    • Developing IXC Market Potential
  • IXC Market Forecast for OXCs
  • Total Market Forecast for OXCs
  • Detailed Forecasts of OXCs from the Models
    • Total Number of OXCs
    • Forecasts by Types of OXCs
    • Forecast of OXCs by Application
  • UPDATED FORECASTS
    • Step One, Downturn Impact
    • Step Two, 9-11 Impacts
  • STEP THREE, RESULTING NEW FORECASTS
    • Comparison of Local vs. IXC Applications
    • Comparison of Large vs. Small Switches
    • Comparison of OEO vs. OO Market

PRICING FORECASTS

  • UPDATE STATEMENT
  • PRICE FORECAST FOR SMALL (32 PORTS AND BELOW) SWITCHES
  • PRICE FORECAST FOR LARGE (ABOVE 32 PORTS) SWITCHES

VENDOR PROFILES

  • STATEMENT OF UPDATE
  • SUMMARY OF VENDORS
    • ADC
    • Alcatel
    • Altamar Networks
    • Agilent Technologies (HP)
    • BrightLink Networks (Corvia)
    • C Speed Corp.
    • Calient Networks
    • Chiaro Networks
    • Chorum Technologies
    • Chromatis Networks (Lucent)
    • Ciena (Lightera and Omnia)
    • Cisco
    • Corning
    • Corvis
    • DiCon Fiberoptics
    • LIGHTech Fiberoptics
    • Lucent
    • Luxcore
    • Monterrey Networks (Cisco)
    • Network Photonics
    • Nortel
    • Optical Switch Corporation
    • Optisphere (Siemens)
    • Qtera (Nortel)
    • Siemens
    • Sycamore
    • Tellium Inc.
    • Templex
    • Teraburst Networks Inc.
    • Xros Inc. (Nortel)

APPENDIX I – RING AND MESH ARCHITECTURES

  • RING AND MESH ARCHITECTURES
    • What is a Ring Topology?
    • Type of Rings
    • Wavelength Access In Rings
  • What is a Mesh Topology?
  • Router-Based Restoration
  • OXC Based-Restoration
  • Combined TR/OXC Restoration
  • ADVANTAGES OF MESH VS. RING ARCHITECTURES

APPENDIX II – SEGMENTATION OF THE NETWORK

APPENDIX III – MATRIX OF PROVIDERS

APPENDIX IV – LISTING OF ACRONYMS

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Table of Figures



Figure 1, MEMS Layout 24
Figure 2, Sketch of Two Dimensional MEMS 26
Figure 3, Sketch of Multi-Dimensional MEMS 27
Figure 4, Sketch of Liquid Crystal Technology 36
Figure 5, Sketch of Bubble Technology 39
.Figure 6, Comparison of OMO Technology 42
Figure 7, Characteristics of Each Technology 43
Figure 8, Example of Application of Transparent Switch - 1310 nm Interfaces 45
Figure 9, Example of Transparent OXC in Full Optical Environment 45
Figure 10, Example of opaque OXC in Typical Environment 46
Figure 11, Example of Power Loss in Transparent Switches 47
Figure 12, Comparison of Loss Budgets - Active and Restoral Paths 48
Figure 13, 2048 x 2048 Clos Network 50
Figure 14, Example of Transparent OXC - FXC Class 51
Figure 15, Example of Transparent OXC-WSXC Class 52
Figure 16, Example of Transparent OXC – WIXC Class 53
Figure 17, Table of Switch Classes – Summary of Features 54
Figure 18, Example of Use of Tunable Laser in Transparent OXC 55
Figure 19, Typical Application of OXCs as Cross-Connects 62
Figure 20, Example of FXC Class Fiber-to-Fiber Application 64
Figure 21, Example of FXC Application at 1310 nm 64
Figure 22, Example of WSXC Application 65
Figure 23, Example of WICX Application 66
Figure 24, Implementing Cross-Connects with Opaque OXCs 66
Figure 25, OXCs Interconnecting Markets 69
Figure 26, Use of Wavelength Routers for APS 70
Figure 27, Using OXCs in Conjunction with Routers 71
Figure 28, Multiple Rings 72
Figure 29, Connection of Rings 72
Figure 30, Terabit Router Interconnection 75
Figure 31, OXC Ring Interconnection 76
Figure 32, Illustration of 400% Growth Rate 78
Figure 33, Impact of a 400% Growth Rate on Today’s Network. 78
Figure 34, Conservative Estimate of Internet Growth 79
Figure 35, Business VoIP Growth 80
Figure 36, B2B Value Projections 81
Figure 37, Transatlantic Traffic 82
Figure 38, Graph of Wavelength Growth at Major Junctions 84
Figure 39, Average vs. Low Projection of Growth of Wavelengths at Junction Points 85
Figure 40, Composite of Current Forecasts of OXC Market – US 86
Figure 41, Major Input Parameters as Used in the Example 88
Figure 42, Large ( > 1,000,000) Metro Areas Model Potential Market Results 90
Figure 43, Smaller (400,000<x<1,000,000) Metro Area Potential Market Results 90
Figure 44, Total Local Potential OXCs Market 91
Figure 45, "S" Curve Adoption Rate 91
Figure 46, Market Forecast – Local OXCs 92
Figure 47, Graph of Local OXC Market Forecast 92
Figure 48, IXC Model of OXC Market 93
Figure 49, Wavelengths per Junction Chart 93
Figure 50, Projected Wavelengths Per Small Junction Point 94
Figure 51, Market Potential for OXCs in IXC Networks 94
Figure 52, IXC Market for OXCs 95
Figure 53, Graph of IXC Market Forecast for OXCs 95
Figure 54, Total OXC Market Forecast - Based on the Local and IXC Models 96
Figure 55, Graph of OXC Market Forecast – Total Market 96
Figure 56, Forecast OXC Units 97
Figure 57, Graph of Forecast OXCs - Units 97
Figure 58, Forecast of OXCs by Type 98
Figure 59, Forecast of OXCs by Application 98
Figure 60, Updated Total Market - Downturn Impact –From "Riding the Lightwave Down…" 100
Figure 61, Comparison of New and Old Adoption Rates 101
Figure 62, Total Market - Update Forecast 102
Figure 63, Updated Forecast - Comparison of Local and IXC Market 103
Figure 64, Updated Forecast - Quantities of Local vs. IXC OXCs 103
Figure 65, Updated Forecast - Large vs. Small OXC Market 104
Figure 66, Graph of Large vs. Small Switch Market 104
Figure 67, Updated Forecast - Large vs. Small OXC Quantities 105
Figure 68, Updated Forecast - Large Switches OEO vs. OO Market 106
Figure 69, Updated Forecast - Small Switches OEO vs. OO Market 106
Figure 70, Updated Forecast - Graph of OO vs. OXC Market 107
Figure 71, Price Forecast - Small OXCs 110
Figure 72, Price Forecast, Large OXCs 110
Figure 73, Vendor Summary 111
Figure 74, Typical SONET Rings 144
Figure 75, Through Lambdas at an ADM 146
Figure 76, Ring Drop Equipment Example 146
Figure 77, Example of Mesh Layout 147
Figure 78, Terabit Router Restoration 148
Figure 79, OXC Restoration Example 149
Figure 80, Combined TR and OXC Restoration 149
Figure 81, Ring Topology with Protection Facility 151
Figure 82, Mesh Network with Protection 151
Figure 83, "Riding the Lightwave" Rationale 153

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